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Red152
129656.7
420613.3
407614.5
Blue84
505716.6
384727.7
288130.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847005010015015284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
Unranked
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 26.5
2881
Unranked
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
4076
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 13.2
3847
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
4206
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5057
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0