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Red20
505716.6
27237.4
420613.3
Blue89
407614.5
65878.5
546915.3
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060802089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5057
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
5469
Unranked
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
4206
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4076
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
2723
Unranked
7.40.0
7.47.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
6587
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0