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Red193
23140.7
62485.0
258754.5
Blue178
45725.7
129656.7
373543.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185110050150250300193178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
85.00.0
85.085.0
Auto12.0
Teleop73.0
End0.0
red by 28.3
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
2587
#18
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
red by 10.5
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
231
#10
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto0.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 14.9
457
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0