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Red58
147726.9
333525.4
65878.5
Blue68
45725.7
129656.7
373543.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4413601001502002505868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#12
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 29.8
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0
blue by 18.5
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
6587
#21
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 17.2
457
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0