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Red108
384727.7
458740.6
27898.0
Blue58
288130.2
310327.4
258511.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75650204010012014016010858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 10.4
2881
#23
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
3847
#15
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
2789
#17
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2585
#20
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0