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Red142
118106.4
542717.8
463917.7
Blue98
541641.1
129656.7
458740.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381338010012016018020014298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
106.40.0
106.4106.4
Auto10.9
Teleop95.5
End0.0
red by 49.7
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
5427
#16
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 23.3
41.10.0
41.141.1
Auto0.8
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Third
4639
#11
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 23.0
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0