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Red114
463917.7
458740.6
333525.4
Blue32
45725.7
258231.5
399922.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8277406010012011432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 9.1
2582
#24
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Second
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0
blue by 0.3
457
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
4639
#11
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3999
#14
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0