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Red78
258511.3
23140.7
384727.7
Blue116
125540.1
129656.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7210105015020025030078116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#10
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto0.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
blue by 16.0
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
3847
#15
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 12.4
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Third
2585
#20
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 8.2
3013B
Unranked
3.20.0
3.23.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.5
End0.0