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Red27
27898.0
288130.2
125540.1
Blue143
399922.8
310327.4
129656.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6910905015020025027143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
blue by 16.6
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
2881
#23
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 2.8
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
2789
#17
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 14.8
3999
#14
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0