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Red57
129656.7
557221.1
288130.2
Blue70
258754.5
541641.1
333525.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011190501502002503003504005770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
2587
#18
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
2881
#23
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
blue by 10.9
41.10.0
41.141.1
Auto0.8
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Third
5572
#19
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 4.3
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0