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Red38
384727.7
373543.9
45725.7
Blue38
258231.5
557221.1
258754.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921050501502002503003504003838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 10.5
2587
#18
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
3847
#15
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 3.9
2582
#24
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Third
457
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 4.7
5572
#19
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.6
End0.0