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Red53
45725.7
129656.7
65878.5
Blue75
310327.4
373543.9
258511.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90780501001505375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 12.8
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Second
457
#22
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 1.7
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
6587
#21
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2585
#20
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0