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Red106
125540.1
458740.6
373543.9
Blue128
129656.7
333525.4
147726.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124102050150200106128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 12.8
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 13.8
1477
#12
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 14.7
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0