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Red170
23140.7
62485.0
258754.5
Blue122
557221.1
118106.4
542717.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18113350100150200250300170122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
85.00.0
85.085.0
Auto12.0
Teleop73.0
End0.0
blue by 21.4
118
#2
106.40.0
106.4106.4
Auto10.9
Teleop95.5
End0.0
Second
2587
#18
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
red by 33.4
5572
#19
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
231
#10
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto0.0
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 22.8
5427
#16
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.8
End0.0