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Red238
463917.7
147726.9
118108.0
Blue72
432818.7
333525.4
420613.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1683505010015020025023872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
108.00.0
108.0108.0
Auto8.9
Teleop99.0
End0.0
red by 82.6
3335
Unranked
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
1477
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 8.2
4328
Unranked
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
4639
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
4206
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0