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Red58
432818.7
541411.2
384727.7
Blue89
333525.4
458740.6
215839.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4511201001502002505889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 13.0
4587
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Second
4328
Unranked
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 20.5
2158
Unranked
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Third
5414
Unranked
11.20.0
11.211.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 14.2
3335
Unranked
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.2
End0.0