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Red78
208017.4
542717.8
458740.6
Blue100
147726.9
352613.5
215839.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757420406010012078100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 1.5
2158
Unranked
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Second
5427
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 9.1
1477
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
2080
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 3.9
3526
Unranked
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0