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Red24
384727.7
82468.5
420613.3
Blue86
147726.9
373543.9
541411.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418601001502002486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 16.3
3735
Unranked
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Second
4206
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 13.6
1477
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
8246
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5414
Unranked
11.20.0
11.211.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0