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Red62
62488.3
310327.4
99998.5
Blue4
215839.2
420613.3
258754.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1249950150200624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
red by 33.8
2587
Unranked
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
3103
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 11.7
2158
Unranked
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Third
9999
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 4.7
4206
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0