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Red26
258313.6
399725.7
129656.7
Blue110
458740.6
399922.8
27898.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986405015020026110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 16.1
4587
#21
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Second
3997
#14
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
3999
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
2583
#18
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
2789
#10
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0