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Red149
246841.0
129644.2
241528.8
Blue147
181726.4
23328.5
215820.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115610100150200250149147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.6
43.143.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 15.8
233
#3
28.51.3
27.528.8
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
41.00.6
40.040.6
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 14.6
1817
#16
26.41.7
25.226.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
2415
#15
28.80.9
27.428.3
Auto0.2
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 8.5
2158
#40
20.31.7
19.120.7
Auto0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0