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Red66
181726.4
23328.5
215820.3
Blue9
288114.2
310319.5
18685.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623502080100120140160669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
28.50.1
24.424.5
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 9.0
3103
#10
19.50.6
19.919.3
Auto0.2
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
1817
#16
26.40.1
21.021.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 12.2
2881
#23
14.20.6
14.714.1
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
2158
#40
20.30.1
14.915.0
Auto0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 14.9
1868
#59
5.40.6
5.95.3
Auto0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0