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Red64
406321.0
575417.3
399714.6
Blue16
348115.9
399918.2
336614.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51480204060801001206416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#12
21.00.2
20.821.0
Auto0.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
18.20.8
18.918.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Second
17.30.3
17.017.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 1.4
3481
#11
15.90.6
16.515.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
3997
#53
14.60.3
14.414.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 0.7
3366
#25
14.00.8
14.714.0
Auto1.5
Teleop12.5
End0.0