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Red30
32408.4
464115.2
43786.5
Blue23
473410.1
336614.0
524110.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2221010304050603023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.20.4
10.410.8
Auto0.6
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 1.2
3366
#25
14.00.1
8.28.3
Auto1.5
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Second
3240
#43
8.40.6
7.07.6
Auto1.3
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 2.1
5241
#39
10.60.1
4.95.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
4378
#51
6.50.6
5.66.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4734
#27
10.10.1
8.78.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0