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Red76
246841.0
374323.6
57262.1
Blue60
29698.7
461012.0
129644.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060801007660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.02.1
24.226.3
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
blue by 3.2
44.21.2
20.621.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop44.9
End0.0
Second
23.62.8
9.712.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 11.6
4610
#29
12.01.6
11.112.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
5726
#57
2.19.2
2.111.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.2
End0.0
blue by 6.5
2969
#33
8.71.6
8.810.4
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0