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Red76
575417.3
331430.1
44127.0
Blue59
29698.7
473410.1
42199.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060801007659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.8
22.123.9
Auto0.4
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 20.0
4734
#27
10.12.0
8.810.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Second
17.33.0
7.610.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 7.7
4219
#42
9.62.0
12.814.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
4412
#47
7.03.0
10.513.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 1.6
2969
#33
8.72.0
13.315.3
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0