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Red60
23328.5
23124.3
367910.4
Blue0
27898.0
47216.8
57262.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56230100150600

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
28.50.4
17.117.5
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 20.4
2789
#48
8.02.4
10.58.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0
Second
231
#13
24.30.6
27.027.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 17.5
4721
#50
6.82.4
9.06.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
Third
3679
#41
10.40.6
8.59.1
Auto0.6
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 8.2
5726
#57
2.12.4
9.26.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.2
End0.0