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Red36
310319.5
50529.3
45717.3
Blue22
125519.6
356111.5
461012.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453702060801001203622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3103
#10
19.50.8
18.017.2
Auto0.2
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 0.1
1255
#17
19.61.4
8.57.1
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
457
#26
17.30.5
13.813.3
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 5.3
4610
#29
12.01.4
16.214.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
5052
#30
9.30.8
13.512.7
Auto0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3561
#22
11.51.4
14.513.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0