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Red116
459714.0
348115.9
129644.2
Blue74
433211.5
23328.5
331430.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4354010015011674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.23.5
26.730.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 14.1
30.11.0
25.726.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
3481
#11
15.93.5
11.214.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 12.5
233
#3
28.51.0
17.518.5
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
4597
#20
14.05.8
8.714.5
Auto0.6
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 2.5
4332
#24
11.51.7
10.912.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0