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Red0
304315.2
47216.8
49897.3
Blue10
433510.6
33454.6
568111.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423051015202530010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3043
#28
15.21.0
7.66.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 4.2
5681
#34
11.12.2
11.18.8
Auto0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Second
4989
#56
7.31.0
9.58.5
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4335
#35
10.60.3
8.08.4
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
4721
#50
6.81.0
7.46.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
red by 2.2
3345
#55
4.60.3
7.67.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.7
End0.0