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Red56
504715.7
459714.0
215820.3
Blue76
47216.8
129644.2
51039.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314601001505676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#40
20.31.8
10.011.8
Auto0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 23.9
44.21.9
30.232.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop44.9
End0.0
Second
5047
#18
15.71.8
10.011.8
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
5103
#36
9.63.1
7.810.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
4597
#20
14.01.8
14.516.3
Auto0.6
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 7.2
4721
#50
6.83.1
6.910.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0