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Red40
4997.7
125519.6
56398.0
Blue13
32408.4
23124.3
29698.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions550204060801001201401604013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
#17
19.62.3
7.19.4
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 4.7
231
#13
24.32.2
24.222.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
5639
#52
8.02.3
1.74.0
Auto0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 0.7
2969
#33
8.72.2
13.411.3
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
499
#44
7.72.3
3.45.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3240
#43
8.42.2
7.25.1
Auto1.3
Teleop7.1
End0.0