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Red33
433510.6
356111.5
18685.4
Blue32
258313.6
575417.3
467013.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263502060801001203332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#22
11.50.4
13.113.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 5.7
17.30.3
11.811.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
4335
#35
10.60.4
6.97.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 3.0
2583
#37
13.60.3
12.612.4
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
1868
#59
5.40.4
8.79.1
Auto0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 8.0
4670
#31
13.50.3
10.810.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0