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Red62
23124.3
28057.4
45717.3
Blue79
374323.6
433510.6
241528.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060806279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#13
24.31.5
22.023.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2415
#15
28.83.0
18.721.7
Auto0.2
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
457
#26
17.30.9
13.914.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 6.3
23.63.0
16.819.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
2805
#49
7.41.5
8.39.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4335
#35
10.63.0
7.310.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0