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Red51
172626.6
504715.7
433510.6
Blue72
336614.0
181726.4
43786.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50280204060801001205172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.2
25.125.3
Auto0.3
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 0.2
1817
#16
26.43.1
19.322.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
5047
#18
15.70.2
13.113.3
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
3366
#25
14.03.1
8.611.7
Auto1.5
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4335
#35
10.60.2
10.310.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
4378
#51
6.53.1
4.67.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0