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Red74
304315.2
45717.3
330516.9
Blue54
399918.2
30358.1
23328.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374901001507454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#26
17.31.7
14.716.4
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 11.1
233
#3
28.50.3
22.022.2
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
3305
#19
16.92.6
16.218.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 1.3
18.20.4
17.718.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Third
3043
#28
15.22.6
9.111.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 7.1
3035
#45
8.10.4
9.29.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0