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Red10
32408.4
258313.6
433211.5
Blue0
44127.0
43786.5
406321.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732050100150200100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#37
13.61.6
12.210.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 7.5
4063
#12
21.01.2
16.214.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
4332
#24
11.51.6
8.56.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 4.5
4412
#47
7.01.7
8.97.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Third
3240
#43
8.41.6
8.77.0
Auto1.3
Teleop7.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
4378
#51
6.51.7
7.35.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0