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Red6
28057.4
33454.6
44127.0
Blue11
356111.5
46968.6
51039.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193606080100120611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2805
#49
7.41.2
8.57.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3561
#22
11.51.7
13.311.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Second
4412
#47
7.01.2
8.27.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5103
#36
9.61.7
11.39.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
3345
#55
4.61.2
5.84.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.7
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4696
#46
8.61.7
10.48.6
Auto1.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0