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Red52
399918.2
473410.1
258313.6
Blue110
288114.2
241528.8
129644.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327405010015020052110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.9
18.118.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 26.1
44.22.0
38.040.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop44.9
End0.0
Second
2583
#37
13.60.9
12.713.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 15.3
2415
#15
28.82.9
20.323.2
Auto0.2
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
4734
#27
10.10.9
9.210.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2881
#23
14.22.9
11.814.7
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0