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Red30
464115.2
29698.7
181726.4
Blue6
45717.3
348115.9
49897.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49410206080100120306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#16
26.41.4
22.421.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 9.1
457
#26
17.31.6
16.414.8
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
15.21.0
17.016.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3481
#11
15.91.6
18.116.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
2969
#33
8.71.4
10.18.7
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
red by 1.4
4989
#56
7.32.3
9.67.3
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0