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Red174
161962.5
62465.3
433419.3
Blue164
323048.4
212251.2
340513.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14595050200250300174164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
65.30.6
64.064.6
Auto12.4
Teleop53.0
End0.0
red by 14.1
51.21.2
48.850.0
Auto0.1
Teleop51.0
End0.0
Second
62.50.8
60.961.6
Auto0.6
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 14.1
48.41.2
46.047.2
Auto0.5
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Third
4334
#49
19.30.8
17.718.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
3405
#47
13.61.2
11.212.4
Auto0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0