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Qual 12015 Utah Regional
Red124
212251.2
66240.5
300926.7
Blue18
459815.6
415828.9
281316.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523302040608010012014016012418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#3
51.26.1
23.3→29.4
Auto0.1
Teleop51.0
End0.0
red by 22.2
4158
#18
28.91.6
17.1→15.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
662
#6
40.56.1
12.8→18.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 24.3
2813
#33
16.21.6
10.2→8.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
3009
#12
26.76.1
15.3→21.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 11.1
4598
#39
15.61.6
9.5→7.9
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0