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Red36
507117.4
324120.2
458518.4
Blue52
281316.2
415310.6
337432.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33310204060803652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3241
#32
20.20.3
12.012.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 12.4
3374
#10
32.61.6
9.110.6
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
4585
#30
18.40.3
13.013.2
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 2.2
2813
#33
16.21.6
8.610.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
5071
#34
17.40.3
8.08.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 6.7
4153
#52
10.61.6
15.617.2
Auto0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0