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Red22
507117.4
183623.9
141027.0
Blue99
43487.5
189119.3
212251.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385601001502002299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#19
27.01.6
17.015.3
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 24.2
51.23.7
33.937.6
Auto0.1
Teleop51.0
End0.0
Second
1836
#37
23.91.0
16.515.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
1891
#31
19.33.7
14.818.5
Auto0.8
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
5071
#34
17.41.6
8.36.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 9.8
4348
#51
7.53.7
6.410.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0