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Red107
426811.2
415828.9
507117.4
Blue92
19246.0
248626.6
320032.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228505010015020025010792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4158
#18
28.96.2
14.620.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 17.1
192
#7
46.01.3
27.729.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Second
5071
#34
17.46.2
6.612.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 15.5
32.82.2
24.626.8
Auto0.3
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Third
4268
#42
11.26.2
11.717.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 15.4
2486
#17
26.62.2
25.627.8
Auto1.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0