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Red87
156939.4
316624.3
455030.4
Blue62
415828.9
328819.3
43487.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584201001508762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.42.5
27.229.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.5
End0.0
red by 10.5
4158
#18
28.91.3
20.822.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
4550
#14
30.42.5
15.017.5
Auto0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 11.2
3288
#22
19.31.3
15.516.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
3166
#15
24.32.5
15.117.6
Auto0.6
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 16.8
4348
#51
7.51.3
10.011.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0