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Red100
62465.3
534616.8
426811.2
Blue66
433419.3
300926.7
281316.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756005010015020010066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
65.31.2
48.049.3
Auto12.4
Teleop53.0
End0.0
red by 38.7
3009
#12
26.70.1
26.126.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
5346
#26
16.82.0
9.711.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4334
#49
19.30.1
25.925.9
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
4268
#42
11.22.0
17.919.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 5.0
2813
#33
16.20.1
13.213.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0