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Red109
323048.4
322513.4
515924.1
Blue78
11518.3
320032.8
324120.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6863020408010012014016010978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.43.5
35.038.5
Auto0.5
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 15.5
32.81.4
29.230.6
Auto0.3
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
5159
#25
24.13.5
19.322.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 3.9
3241
#32
20.21.4
21.923.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
3225
#21
13.43.5
15.619.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 5.0
115
#35
18.31.4
15.316.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0