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Red25
340513.6
133220.3
248626.6
Blue16
15669.9
324120.2
43487.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6440020801001201401602516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#17
26.62.7
29.026.3
Auto1.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 6.4
3241
#32
20.22.1
23.321.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
1332
#36
20.32.7
21.418.7
Auto0.3
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 10.5
1566
#50
9.92.1
10.07.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
3405
#47
13.62.7
12.19.4
Auto0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 6.1
4348
#51
7.52.1
12.09.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0