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Qual 792015 Utah Regional
Red106
548924.2
299638.0
546114.5
Blue104
248418.6
281316.2
156939.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968406080100120106104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#4
38.02.5
37.9→40.4
Auto0.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1569
#8
39.42.3
37.8→40.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
5489
#16
24.22.5
20.3→22.8
Auto0.9
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 5.6
2484
#24
18.62.3
20.4→22.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
5461
#43
14.52.5
12.7→15.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2813
#33
16.22.3
13.8→16.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0